{"id":17712,"date":"2014-03-22T21:41:02","date_gmt":"2014-03-22T21:41:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/heres-my-simple-cynical-theory-1-if-the\/"},"modified":"2014-03-22T21:41:02","modified_gmt":"2014-03-22T21:41:02","slug":"heres-my-simple-cynical-theory-1-if-the","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/heres-my-simple-cynical-theory-1-if-the\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote>\n<p>Here\u2019s my simple cynical theory:<\/p>\n<p>1. If the Obvious Method yields the Welcome Answer, the Obvious Method will be popular.<\/p>\n<p>2. If the Obvious Method fails to yield the Welcome Answer, the Obvious Method will be unpopular.<\/p>\n<p>If #2 holds, then:<\/p>\n<p>3. If a Non-Obvious Method yields the Welcome Answer, the Non-Obvious Method will be popular.<\/p>\n<p>4. If no Non-Obvious Method yields the Welcome Answer, the Question will be unpopular.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div class='attribution'>Bryan Caplan \u201cPredicting the Popularity of Obvious Methods\u201d<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/econlog.econlib.org\/archives\/2014\/01\/predicting_the.html\">http:\/\/econlog.econlib.org\/archives\/2014\/01\/predicting_the.html<\/a> (via <a class=\"tumblr_blog\" href=\"http:\/\/peterspear.tumblr.com\/\">peterspear<\/a>)<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here\u2019s my simple cynical theory: 1. If the Obvious Method yields the Welcome Answer, the Obvious Method will be popular. 2. If the Obvious Method fails to yield the Welcome Answer, the Obvious Method will be unpopular. If #2 holds, then: 3. If a Non-Obvious Method yields the Welcome Answer, the Non-Obvious Method will be [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"quote","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-quote","hentry","category-words","post_format-post-format-quote"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6PWot-4BG","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17712","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17712"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17712\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rafaelfajardo.com\/portfolio\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}